Radar Verde China

Climate change is already disrupting agricultural production and food systems through higher temperatures, shifting rainfall patterns, and more frequent/intense extremes (heatwaves, droughts, floods), with documented consequences for food security and the stability of food prices (IPCC, 2023; World Bank, 2024; Adam & Matta, 2025). In the Amazon, drought and heat extremes have intensified in recent years, increasing fire risk and undermining ecosystem services that help regulate regional rainfall—effects that can cascade into higher production volatility and food-price pressures domestically and internationally (World Weather Attribution, 2024). Because deforestation is both a major source of Brazil’s greenhouse gas emissions and a driver of regional climatic feedbacks, achieving zero deforestation is increasingly central to climate-risk reduction, agricultural resilience, and long-run food security (SEEG, 2022; IPCC, 2023).

China’s food-security strategy has historically emphasized domestic supply stability and price management, while the country’s meat demand—particularly beef—has become increasingly reliant on imports over the past decade (Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2024). In parallel, influential Chinese industry initiatives have begun to articulate substituir por: expectations for “green trade” in meat supply chains, including environmental risk management and information disclosure (China Meat Association, 2021). These dynamics matter acutely for Brazil: China has been the main destination for Brazilian beef exports in recent years, accounting for roughly half of total export volume (ABIEC, 2024; Reuters, 2026).

On December 31, 2025, China announced a beef import safeguard package that will apply from January 1, 2026 for three years, establishing tariff-rate quotas (TRQs) by supplier and applying an additional 55% tariff on imports above the quota (MOFCOM, 2025; Reuters, 2025). For Brazilian beef specifically, China’s 2026 quota was reported at 1.106 million tonnes, rising modestly in 2027–2028 (Reuters, 2026). This policy increases the strategic value of “within-quota” procurement and creates a practical opening for sustainability-linked supplier selection—particularly if importers and regulators seek to maximize value, reduce reputational risk, and demonstrate alignment with emerging expectations for “deforestation and conversion-free” products.

This report assesses how beef companies operating in the Brazilian Amazon— specifically export-qualified slaughterhouse units—align with China Meat Association’s “Green Trade” expectations, and how the Radar Verde platform can support risk-based procurement and due diligence. Radar Verde compiles public data to evaluate companies and maps “purchase zones” to make supply-chain exposure and performance more transparent for buyers and stakeholders.